Risk and Uncertainty: A Fallacy of Large Numbers (Reprint)
نویسنده
چکیده
منابع مشابه
A Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach with Interval Numbers for Evaluating Project Risk Responses
The risk response development is one of the main phases in the project risk management that has major impacts on a large-scale project’s success. Since projects are unique, and risks are dynamic through the life of the projects, it is necessary to formulate responses of the important risks. Conventional approaches tend to be less effective in dealing with the imprecise of the risk response deve...
متن کاملA Genre Analysis of Reprint Request E-mails Written by EFL and Physics Professionals
The present study aimed to analyze reprint request e-mail messages written by postgraduates (MA students) of two fields of study, namely Physics and EFL, to realize the differences and similarities between the two email types. To investigate the purpose of the study, a sample of 100 e-mail messages, 50 Physics and 50 EFL, were analyzed according to Swales’ (1990) model for reprint requests and ...
متن کاملOvercoming the uncertainty in a research reactor LOCA in level-1 PSA; Fuzzy based fault-tree/event-tree analysis
Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) which plays a crucial role in risk evaluation is a quantitative approach intended to demonstrate how a nuclear reactor meets the safety margins as part of the licensing process. Despite PSA merits, some shortcomings associated with the final results exist. Conventional PSA uses crisp values to represent the failure probabilities of basic events. This causes...
متن کاملTowards Supply Chain Planning Integration: Uncertainty Analysis Using Fuzzy Mathematical Programming Approach in a Plastic Forming Company
Affected by globalization and increased complexity, supply chain managers have learned about the importance of Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP). However, in large scale supply chains, S&OP has received little attention, by both academics and practitioners. The purpose of this manuscript is to investigate the advantages of S&OP process using a mathematical modeling approach in a large scale ...
متن کاملFuzzy Double Variable Sampling Plan under Uncertainty
Double sampling plan is an examination with a certain parameter, so it cannot decide about manufactured products whose portion parameter ( ) is not certain. The main goal of this survey is to introduce double variable plan when is indefinite to examine manufacturing products when concerned characteristics are normally distributed. Plan parameters are achieved by an optimization manner. Sum of ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 1999